Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Several the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if it is exactly what your problem is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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